运用灰色关联度模型对2004-2012年间北京文化创意产业及三次产业的其它主要行业与经济增长的关联度、北京文化创意产业内部各行业与经济增长的关联度、北京文化创意产业与三次产业中其它主要行业之间的关联度进行了测算和分析。结果表明：北京文化创意产业与GDP存在较密切的关联,对经济增长的影响较大,但仍有较大发展潜力和提升空间。北京文化创意产业内部各行业的发展不平衡,旅游、休闲娱乐对GDP的影响最显著,文化艺术和设计服务与GDP也有较高的关联度,但这三个行业在全市GDP中的比重仍然偏低；广告会展与GDP的关联度较小,但其在GDP中的比重较高,发展比较充分；而艺术品交易与GDP的关联度最小,在GDP中的比重也最低,提升空间较大。文化创意产业与其它行业都有较高的关联度,对其它行业的关联带动作用显著,与批发零售业的关联度最高。据此提出了政策建议。

Using gray correlation model, the paper analyses gray correlation degree among the cultural and creative industries and economic growth, other industries of the three industries and economic growth,among the internal industries of the cultural and creative industries and economic growth,among the other industries of the three industries and the cultural and creative industries from 2004 to 2011 in Beijing. The results show that:Beijing cultural and creative industries have a closely related to GDP with the bigger impaction, but still have great development space.The internal industries of the cultural and creative industries have unbalance development.Tourism,the leisure and entertainment industry has the most significant related to GDP,the cultural art and design service have the higher correlation degree with GDP,but three industries have the lower proportion of GDP; advertising exhibition has the more little correlation degree with GDP,however,it has the higher proportion of GDP,The art trade has the least correlation degree with GDP,with the lowest proportion of GDP,and having the great development space.the cultural and creative industries have a strong penetration on other industries with a higher association with other industries,and having the highest correlation degree with the wholesale and retail industry.The paper puts forward the countermeasures.

国家自然科学“基于多模态网络数据挖掘的景区游客流量预测与预警研究”(71373023)