绿色发展是新时代下中国经济社会发展的重要理念。以广东为研究对象,建立涵盖经济社会、资源利用和环境保护领域的评估指标体系,采用因子分析方法和构建综合评价指标,研究区域绿色发展现状水平和新常态以来的变化特征。结果表明,当前珠三角核心区绿色发展整体水平较高,而大部分粤东西北欠发达地市较低,发展对资源消耗的依赖性较强；进入新常态以来,各地市在绿色发展的不同方面均取得一定的改善效果,但还没有形成系统、协调的改进成效。针对不同区域的发展现状和主体功能定位,提出未来差异化的绿色发展思路。该研究以具有显著区域差异特征的广东为典型,可为全国各区域形成协同绿色发展格局和区域协调机制提供重要的启示。

Green development is a most important concept for China’s socioeconomic development in the ‘new era’. This paper takes Guangdong Province as research object, establishes an assessment indicators system covering the fields of society and economy, resource utilization, and environment protection, and analyzes regional green development status and changes since the beginning of new normal phase, by using factor analysis method and calculating synthetic evaluating scores. Results shows that, core area of Pearl River Delta is the highest in green development at present, while most of the cities in eastern, western, and northern Guangdong Province are lower and their development highly relies on resource consumption. After entering the new normal phase, improvement of green development occurs in each city, however, systematic and coordinating improving achievement is still absent. Based on the development status and main-functional orientation of different regions, this paper puts forward the differentiated regional paths of green development in future. Taking Guangdong Province with obvious regional disparity as a typical area, the results can enlighten the country in establishing national green development patterns and regional coordination mechanisms.

国家重点研发计划项目“我国东部大气环境集成观测与数据共享技术”子课题“大气环境数据库和分析共享平台建立”（编号：2016YFC0202005）；广东省低碳发展专项资金项目“广东省市县三级低碳发展评价指标体系”（编号：NC-2016-170P）；广东省人口发展研究院委托项目“与主体功能区对接的广东省人口发展功能区研究”