新常态下中国省际经济增长质量指标体系构建及测度

Construction and Measurement of China’s Provincial Quality of Economic Growth Index System under New Normal Conditions

摘要:

新常态下，重视经济增长质量是中国实现经济健康持续发展的重中之重。本文从经济稳定增长、经济结构优化、绿色生态以及社会福利四个维度出发，构建了经济增长质量综合评价指标体系，以全国30个省份2007-2016年面板数据为基础，运用主成分分析方法对基础指标及各维度赋权，计算得出经济增长质量综合指数后进行排序，并以各省份GDP表征地区经济增长数量，进而探讨经济增长“质”和“量”之间协同发展的趋势。模型结果表明，中国经济增长质量水平存在明显的地区差异，整体而言，东部地区要优于中部以及西部地区；同时各地区经济增长质量和数量之间存在不平衡发展的现象。据此，文章提出了中国各省份应因地制宜地制定促进经济高质量发展的措施等建议，以缩小全国各地区间经济增长“质”和“量”的差异，促进协同发展。

Abstract:

Under the New Normal Conditions, attaching importance to the quality of economic growth is the top priority for China to achieve healthy and sustained economic development. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2016, this paper establishes a comprehensive evaluation index system of economic growth quality from the four dimensions of stable economic growth, economic structure optimization, green ecology and social welfare. The basic indicators and the various dimensions are empowered, and the comprehensive indexes of economic growth quality are calculated and ranked by using the principal component analysis method and GDP of each province is used to characterize the the quantity of regional economic growth. Then the the trend of coordinated development between “quality” and “quantity” of economic growth is discussed. The model results show that The results show that there are obvious regional differences in the quality of economic growth in China, and the eastern region is superior to the central and western regions as a whole. At the same time, there is a phenomenon of unbalanced development between the quality and quantity of economic growth in various regions. The article puts forward suggestions that each province of China should make measures to promote high-quality economic development according to local conditions, so as to narrow the difference between “quality” and “quantity” of economic growth across the country and promote coordinated development.