采用Hsieh等的模型方法，构建农业科技资源错配模型及全要素生产率潜在增长模型，测算不同地区、不同行业2006-2016年农业科技人力资源、农业科技财力资源扭曲对全要素生产率的影响。结果显示：地区层面，东部和西部地区农业科技人力、财力资源扭曲程度较为严重，东部和中部地区总体扭曲程度较为严重。行业层面，农垦、畜牧业农业科技财力资源配置相对过剩、农业科技人力资源配置不足；种植业农业科技财力资源配置不足，农业科技人力资源配置相对过剩。从农业的TFP发展潜力来看，如果有效消除农业科技人力、财力资源错配，每个地区和每个行业的TFP都可以得到较大的提升。其中东部、中部和西部地区的TFP可以潜在增长1.49-4.01倍,种植业、畜牧业、农垦行业的TFP可以潜在增长1.21-3.53倍。

Hsieh model method was adopted,constructing the mismatch model of agricultural and the potential growth of total factor productivity, the mismatch degree of agricultural science and technology human resources and agricultural science and technology financial resources in different industries and different regions from 2006 to 2016 and the impact of TFP by mismatch.The results show that:from the region,the distortion of human and financial resources of agricultural science and technology in eastern and western regions is more serious,and the overall distortion in eastern and central regions is more serious.from the industry level,the financial resources of agricultural science and technology are relatively surplus in agricultural reclamation and animal husbandry industry,and the human resources of agricultural science and technology are insufficient,planting industry has insufficient financial resources in agricultural science and technology and idle human resources in agricultural science and technology.From the TFP development potential of agriculture,if the mismatch between agricultural science and technology human resources and agricultural science and technology financial resources is effectively eliminated,the TFP of each region and each industry can be greatly improved.the TFP of each region and each industry can be greatly improved.the potential growth range of TFP in the eastern,central,and western region is 1.49 to 4.01.the potential growth range of TFP in planting,animal husbandry and cultivation industry is 1.21-3.53.

F323.3

国家自然科学基金项目“基于复杂适应系统理论农业科技资源配置结构效应及优化的计算实验研究（编号:71463011)