面对资源环境的发展困境，本文基于中国2009—2018年30个省份面板数据，以产业聚集度划分区域类型，运用面板向量自回归，使用系统GMM估计、脉冲响应函数、方差分解等方法分析环境规制、技术创新与能源消耗三者的动态关系。结果显示: 环境规制对能源消耗具有短期抑制作用，非产业聚集区域抑制作用更加显著；技术创新对能源消耗具有抑制作用，产业聚集区域抑制作用更加显著，非产业聚集区域在后期可能会出现能源回弹效应。环境规制对技术创新具有推动作用，非产业聚集区域的推动作用高于产业聚集区域。因此，政府应当根据区域特性进行宏观环境资源调控、推动经济发展由“低环境成本推动模式”转变为“科技创新驱动模式”。

Facing the development dilemma of resources and environment, this article is based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2009 to 2018, divides regional types by industry concentration, uses panel vector autoregression (PVAR), uses system GMM estimation, impulse response function, variance decomposition, etc. Methods Analyze the dynamic relationship among environmental regulation, technological innovation and energy consumption. The results show that environmental regulations have a short-term inhibitory effect on energy consumption, and non-industrial clusters have a more significant inhibitory effect; technological innovation has a inhibitory effect on energy consumption, and industrial clusters have a more significant inhibitory effect. Non-industrial clusters may have energy recovery in the later period. Bomb effect. Environmental regulation has a driving effect on technological innovation, and the promotion effect of non-industrial clusters is higher than that of industrial clusters. Therefore, the government should carry out macro-environmental resource regulation based on regional characteristics and promote economic development from a "low environmental cost-driven model" to a "technological innovation-driven model."

F062.2；F0626.4

山东省自然科学基金项目（ZR2019MG030）