[关键词]
[摘要]
评判制造业数字绿色创新发展效果是实现双碳目标和促进数字经济发展的关键机制。本文依据五大发展理念,设立了绿色发展、创新驱动、数字经济、高效竞争、风险控制5个维度层,构建了制造业数字绿色创新发展评价指标体系。基于区域资源禀赋,本文运用FAHP-熵权模型分别对不同地区设立组合权重,综合评价京津冀制造业数字绿色创新发展效果。结果表明:(1)污染排放和数字基础设施是影响京津冀制造业数字绿色创新发展的核心因素;供应链风控、创新影响和数字互联网载体、创新贡献和信用风控分别是影响北京、天津、河北的核心因素。(2)近十年京津冀制造业数字绿色创新发展五个方面占比呈现协调融合态势,优劣顺序是北京、天津、河北。数字经济呈现逐步扩大趋势,发展态势良好;与河北和北京在风险控制方面相比,天津则应重点关注高效竞争方面。(3)近十年京津冀制造业数字绿色创新发展态势良好。河北综合水平增速最快;北京综合水平虽仍在稳步上升,但与河北相比,增速较慢;天津制综合水平不容乐观。
[Key word]
[Abstract]
Evaluating the development effect of digital green innovation (DGI) in manufacturing industry is a key mechanism to achieve the dual carbon target and promote the development of digital economy. Based on the five development concepts, this paper sets up five dimensions: green development, innovation-driven, digital economy, efficient competition and risk control, and constructs the evaluation index system of DGI and development in manufacturing industry. Based on the regional resource endowment, this paper uses the FAHP-entropy weight model to set the combined weights for different regions, and comprehensively evaluates the development effect of DGI in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei manufacturing industry. The results show that :(1) pollution emission and digital infrastructure are the core factors affecting the development of DGI in the manufacturing industry of Beijing, tianjin and hebei. Supply chain risk control, innovation impact and digital Internet carrier, innovation contribution and credit risk control are the core factors affecting Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei respectively. (2) The proportion of five aspects of DGI and development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei manufacturing industry showed a coordinated and integrated trend in the past decade. The priority is Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. The digital economy shows a trend of gradual expansion and a good momentum of development. Compared with Hebei and Beijing in risk control, Tianjin should focus on efficient competition. (3) The development trend of DGI in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei manufacturing industry is good in the past decade. Hebei has the fastest overall growth rate. Although the comprehensive level of Beijing is still rising steadily, compared with Hebei, the growth rate is slower. The comprehensive level of Tianjin system is not optimistic.
[中图分类号]
[基金项目]
河北省社会科学基金项目“河北省制造业数字绿色创新的过程机制及实现路径研究”(HB21YJ003)