产业协同演化动力模型及其应用——我国电子及通讯设备业的实证：1995-2012

The Dynamic Model of Industrial Co-evolution and Its Application - China's empirical electronic and communications equipment industry: 1995-2012

摘要:

内容：技术创新是产业演化的根本原动力,市场需求形成选择性拉动力,企业形成异质性推动力,与环境互动的反馈效应产生适应性驱动力。本文建立产业协同演化动力数理模型,对我国电子及通讯设备业进行实证分析,验证了产业演化是关于一个特定市场需求、产业供给和制度环境等动力因素互动的非线性协同过程,据此提出我国现阶段产业发展的相关政策建议。

Abstract:

Technological innovation is the fundamental driving force behind the industrial evolution and the market demand has formed the selective pulling power. companies form heterogeneous impetus which generates adaptive driving force with feedback effects in the process of interacting with environment. This paper establishes dynamic mathematical model of industrial co-evolution and carries out an empirical analysis of China"s electronic and communications equipment industry, verifying that the evolution of the industry is the conclusion of nonlinear joint evolution interacted with by those factors about a specific market needs, industrial power supply, institutional environment and the like. According to this, the related revelatory policy recommendations have been put forward about China"s current industrial development.