新疆区域经济与生态环境协调度评价与优化

Evaluation and optimization on Coordination Degree between Regional Economy and Ecological Environment of Xinjiang

摘要:

构建区域经济与生态环境评价指标体系,运用协调度模型测评新疆及15个地州区域协调度。研究表明：2005-2012年区域经济与生态环境由弱协调发展为协调良好。时间维度来看,区域协调度呈现V型变化趋势；空间维度来看,伊犁州基本协调,克州、喀什地区、和田地区不协调,其余地州均为弱协调；从地区划分上看,北疆区域协调度最高,东疆次之,南疆最差。在耦合协调分析的基础上,运用灰色关联度分析法探讨区域经济与生态环境协调发展的影响因素,从影响区域经济发展水平的13个因素看,社会股东资产投资、第三产业比重对区域经济发展影响最大；从影响生态环境的12个因素看,三废排放量对生态环境影响最大。基于以上研究,给出提高新疆区域经济与生态环境协调发展水平的应对措施。

Abstract:

Building up an evaluation index system of regional economy and ecological environment coordination, Using coordination model to calculate Xinjiang and fifteen areas’ regional coordination. The study finds that the coordination degree between regional economy and ecological environment changed from week coordination to good coordination from 2005 to 2012. Coordination degree presents a trend of “V” from the time dimension; and regional coordination degree of Yili is in the basic coordination degree, Basque, Kashgar, Hetian are not coordinate, and the other areas are weak coordinate among the 15 areas from the spatial dimension, regional coordination of northern Xinjiang is the best, eastern Xinjiang is the second, and southern Xinjiang is the worst. Using grey correlation analysis methods to explore the influence factors of coordinated development of regional economy and ecological environment. Social shareholder’s investment ,third industry are the largest factors in the 13 factors which influence regional economic development, and three waste emissions are the largest influence factors in the 12 factors which influence ecological environment. Based on the above research, giving suggestions to improve the coordination between regional economy and ecological environment.