基于AHP-EM-TOPSIS组合评价方法的区域低碳竞争力评价研究 —以重庆市实证评价研究为例

Research on the Evaluation Indicator System of Regional Low Carbon Competitiveness Based on AHP-EM-TOPSIS Resultant Evaluation Methods —Based on the Empirical Evaluation Study of Chongqing

摘要:

区域低碳经济发展的关键在于提升区域低碳竞争力，为系统、有效地评价区域低碳竞争力发展状况和运行态势，通过对影响低碳竞争力发展水平的众多因素进行分析、梳理，综合运用文献研究法、频度统计法、专家调研法，构建了由总体目标层，系统控制层，基本指标层三个层级组成的，符合区域实际、体现当地特色的区域低碳竞争力评价指标体系。组合运用Delphi、AHP、熵权法，确立指标权重系数，构建层次布局合理，指标选择客观，权重确立科学的综合评价指标。构建基于AHP-EM-TOPSIS的系统评价模型，采集重庆市2001-2012历年纵截面数据予以实证研究，采用Topsis分析方法对历年数据分析计算；基于分析结果，结合指标体系，立足重庆现状，并以迈克尔·波特的“五力模型”为基础，分析区域低碳竞争力体系，基于重庆市的实证研究，验证评价体系的有效性、科学性、客观性，综合评价结果，提出提升重庆市低碳竞争力的对策建议，以期为提升区域低碳竞争力奠定一定的理论基础。

Abstract:

The promotion of regional low carbon competitiveness is key point to improve the regional low carbon economy. With the purpose of evaluating the developing condition and operating situation of the low carbon competitiveness systematically and effectively, by analyzing and combing those factors which may have an impact on the development of the low carbon competitiveness, this paper will take use of the literature research method, frequency statistic method and expert research method to construct the evaluation indicator system of regional low carbon competitiveness, which will be made up of overall objective stage, system control stage and basic index stage. Delphi, AHP, and entropy evaluation method will be comprehensive used to define the weighting factors so that the stages will be reasonable constructed, the indexes will be objective selected and the weighting factors will be scientific defined in the low carbon competitiveness indicator system. Based on the AHP-EM-TOPSIS evaluation model, this paper will also make a empirical study according to the longitudinal data from 2001 to 2012 in Chongqing by taking use of the Topsis method to make a deep analysis and calculation. At last, this paper will reanalyze the results, combine the indicator system and make the “five forces model” which was put out by Michael Porter as the theory basis, base the current situation in Chongqing, the effectivity and objectivity of the indicator system will be estimated, and to put forward countermeasures and advices to improve the low carbon competitiveness of Chongqing, to make a profound theory basis for promoting the regional low carbon competitiveness.