本文运用1995-2012年的统计数据,采用IPCC(2006)测算方法估计江西省能源碳排放总量,并通过构建能源碳排放与经济增长的脱钩指数模型,实证分析了江西省能源碳排放与经济增长之间的脱钩关系。研究结果表明,江西省能源碳排放与经济增长存在不稳定的脱钩状态,强脱钩、弱脱钩、扩张负脱钩等状态交替出现,在此基础上,进一步分析了江西能源碳排放与经济增长脱钩状态变化的原因,并对江西发展低碳经济提出相应的建议。

In this paper, which is based on 1995-2012 statistical data, usd the IPCC (2006) calculation method to estimate the total amount of carbon emissions in Jiangxi energy, and builded carbon emissions energy and economic growth decoupling index model, empirical analysis of the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economy growth. in Jiangxi. The results showed that decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in Jiangxi was instability ,decoupled state, strong decoupling, weak decoupling existed alternately,On this basis,the paper further analysis of the reasons for the decouple state changes of the carbon emissions and Jiangxi economic growth, and make recommendations to Jiangxi in order to develop low-carbon economy.

教育部青年基金《中国国际贸易隐含碳的测算及碳减排责任分配研究》(编号待补)