基于动态偏离-份额模型的广东省农业产业结构和竞争力研究

Industrial Structure and Competitiveness of Agriculture in Guangdong Province Based on Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis Model

摘要:

利用动态偏离－份额模型对2003~2012年广东省农业产业结构和竞争力情况进行了研究，发现除农林牧渔服务业外，广东省农业及其种植业、林业、牧业和渔业部门的发展还是主要依靠全国农业发展的带动；广东省农业结构调整取得了一定成果，但种植业和牧业的结构分量为负值，其内部结构尚需调整；广东省农业及其部门的发展均缺乏竞争力，并且除农林牧渔服务业以外，竞争弱势是制约农业各部门发展的首因。所以，在调整农业内部结构的进程中，提升农业竞争力将卓有成效地促进广东省农业发展。

Abstract:

Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis Model is applied to study industrial structure and competitiveness of agriculture in Guangdong province between 2003 and 2012. The results show that the development of agriculture and its farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery sectors in Guangdong province are mainly driven by the country's development; the structural adjustment of agriculture in Guangdong province has been influenced, but the structural effect are negative in farming and animal husbandry sectors whose internal structure still need to be adjusted; uncompetitive are been found in agriculture and its sectors which is the main factor limits their development. Therefore, enhance the competitiveness of agriculture in the process of structural adjustment would be more effective in promoting the agriculture development in Guangdong province.