经济增长、外商直接投资和能源消费

Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Energy Consumption——An Empirical Research Based on Panel Data Simultaneous Equation Models

摘要:

基于中国30个省区2001-2010年整体面板数据及分组面板数据,本文使用联立方程模型研究经济增长、外商直接投资和能源消费之间的关系。经验研究发现：(1)对于全国组,经济增长和外商直接投资、经济增长和能源消费之间存在双向因果关系,从外商直接投资到能源消费存在单向因果关系；(2)对于高人均地区生产总值省区组,经济增长和外商直接投资之间存在双向因果关系,从经济增长、外商直接投资到能源消费存在单向因果关系；(3)对于中等人均地区生产总值省区组,经济增长和外商直接投资、经济增长和能源消费之间存在双向因果关系,从外商直接投资到能源消费存在单向因果关系；(4)对于低人均地区生产总值省区组,经济增长和外商直接投资之间存在双向因果关系,从经济增长、外商直接投资到能源消费存在单向因果关系。这些研究结论对于决策者制定经济政策有非常重要的参考意义。

Abstract:

_{：Based on China’provincial panel data from 2001 to 2010,this paper studies the interrelationships between economic growth, foreign direct investment and energy consumption using simultaneous equation models. The empirical research results show that: (1)For the whole country,there are bi-directional causal relationships between economic growth and FDI, economic growth and energy consumption, there is uni-directional causal relationship from FDI to energy consumption;(2)For the high GDP per capita provinces, there is bi-directional causal relationship between economic growth and FDI, there are uni-directional causal relationships from economic growth and FDI to energy consumption;(3) For the middle GDP per capita provinces, there are bi-directional causal relationships between economic growth and FDI, economic growth and energy consumption, there is uni-directional causal relationship from FDI to energy consumption;(4) For the low GDP per capita provinces, there is bi-directional causal relationship between economic growth and FDI, there are uni-directional causal relationships from economic growth and FDI to energy consumption. These research results have very important policy implications for policy makers.}