学会发展对创新的驱动效应：基于VAR模型的实证分析

Driving Effect of Societies Development to Innovation: Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model

摘要:

学会的发展与繁荣对增强创新能力、构建符合科技发展规律的中国特色国家创新体系具有巨大的推动作用。本文选取学会数、学术交流活动和专利授权数三个相关变量，以1998-2012年的科协活动和专利授权统计数据为基础，应用向量自回归方法分析学会发展对创新的影响。结果表明，学会数和学术交流活动是影响专利授权数的显著因素；学会数和学术交流活动对专利授权数具有正向促进效应；学术交流活动对专利授权数的促进效应及其变动的贡献程度均大于学会数的贡献率。最后，提出大力发展学会事业，积极发挥学会在构建国家创新体系中的支柱作用；提高学术交流活动质量，增强学会的创新驱动效应；加强学会承担政府转移职能的能力，拓展新的创新驱动路径的对策建议。

Abstract:

The development and prosperity of societies have great impetus for enhancing innovation ability, and building Chinese characteristics innovation system according with the law of science and technology development. This paper selects three related variables, including the number of societies, academic exchanging activities and authorized patents, and analyzes the influence of societies development to innovation applying VAR method, based on the statistical data of Chinese Science Society activities and authorized patents from 1998 to 2012. The result shows that, the number of societies and academic exchanging activities are significant factors which affect the number of authorized patents, and the number of societies and academic exchanging activities have a positive promoting effect to authorized patents. Besides, the promoting effect and contribution of academic exchanging activities are greater than the number of societies. In the final, this paper puts forward three suggestions, such as developing societies strongly, to play an active role as a pillar in building national innovation system; improving the quality of academic exchanging activities, to enhance the innovation-driving effect; strengthening the capacity of taking the government transferring function, to open up new innovation-driving path.