新型城镇化与经济增长----基于技术进步角度的分析

New Pattern Urbanization and Economic Growth

摘要:

内容：本文在新古典经济学分析框架内,以索洛模型为基础,对当前中国经济增长的现状,以及新型城镇化可能对经济增长的影响进行了严谨的分析。最终发现,新型城镇化能够解决中国经济增长所面临的困境。新型城镇化通过解放农村闲置劳动力、降低储蓄率、促进技术进步三种主要手段,影响经济的平衡增长路径、经济的增长率和经济的稳定性。因此在推进新型城镇化的过程中,应注意协调三种手段之间的关系,以促进技术进步为主,以解决中国特有的农村闲置劳动力和高储蓄率问题为辅,长期有效的推动经济增长。

Abstract:

This paper tries to recover the classical economics tradition by Solow model to make a critical analyze about the current status of China"s economic development and the possible influence to economic development which will be raised by new pattern urbanization. New pattern urbanization, the study found, could resolve the dilemma of economic growth of China. By liberating rural surplus labor force, lowering saving rate and promoting technical progress, new pattern urbanization would affect economy’s BGP, growth rate and economic stability. Thus in the unceasing propelling process of new pattern urbanization, it is the coordination of relationships between the three approaches should be particularly noticed. Not only putting main stress on promotion of technical progress, but also taking into account both rural surplus labor force and high saving rate of China, we can drive economic growth long-term effectively.