摩尔定律发展述评

Review of the Moore’s Law Development

摘要:

自从上世纪七十年代,摩尔定律提出以来,按照每十八个月集成晶体管数量翻一番,成本降低一半的规律,芯片产业实现了飞速发展。而由于受到技术、经济、成本等方面的制约,以及社会应用相对不足的现实,摩尔定律受到了来自多方面的质疑和挑战。因此,芯片制造商不能再一味死抱住定期芯片升级的摩尔定律不放,而应有计划地加大芯片社会应用的开发力度,适当拉长开发周期,并探索进入移动终端领域,避免被边缘化,确保自身的可持续发展。

Abstract:

The Moore’s Law, the number of transistors incorporated in a chip approximately doubles and the cost reduces by half every 18-month, has been proposed in the 1970s. According to the law, the chip industry has achieved rapid development. Due to the constraints of technical, economic, and cost, as well as the lack of social applications, the challenge for the Moore’s Law becomes more and more. So the chip manufacturers, such as Intel Inc, should, no longer blindly clinging to the Moore’s Law to upgrade the chip, develop chips social applications, extend the development cycle, explore into the mobile terminals to ensure sustainable development.