1997-2013年中国省域创新差异演化及影响因素分析——基于空间杜宾模型的实证研究

Study on Differences Evolution and Factors of Provincial Regional in China-Evidences from the year of 1993-2013 Spatial Durbin Model

摘要:

以中国31个省域单元为研究区域,采用空间面板数据,运用探索性空间数据分析和空间计量经济学方法对省域创新差异演化及影响因素进行分析。结果表明：在研究时段1997-2013年省域创新的空间集聚程度在不断增加,空间邻近效应在不断增强,总体空间差异呈现出扩大趋势。区域创新的核心地区较为稳定在长三角和珠三角地区,核心区域在东部沿海有所收缩的同时在中西部地区有扩张趋势。通过构建空间计量经济学模型,对省域单元创新产出的影响因素进行了实证研究,得出了R D人员全时当量、R D经费支出、高技术产品进出口总额对创新提高的正向效应显著；而相邻空间单元的GDP对该省域单元创新产出具有显著的正向效应；技术市场成交额对本省的创新具有正向效应,但溢出效应不显著。最后提出东中西部地区差异性创新提升的对策建议。

Abstract:

Take 31 provincial unit in China as the study area. This paper using the spatial panel data, using exploratory spatial data analysis and spatial econometric methods analyzed on Chinese provincial innovation evolution and influence factors. Results shows that: during the study period of 1997-2013, provincial innovation spatial agglomeration degree increasing, the spatial proximity effect is increasing, the overall spatial difference presents the expanding trend. Regional innovation at the core of the region is relatively stable in Yangtze river delta and the pearl river delta region, the core area is shrink in the eastern coastal. At the same time, in the Midwest have a trend of expansion. By building the spatial econometric model, the provincial units of the influence factors of the innovation output has carried on the empirical research, it is concluded that: the R D personnel of full-time equivalent, R D spending, imports and exports of high technology product has significantly positive effect on innovation. And adjacent space unit of GDP has significant positive effect on provincial innovation output. Market turnover has a positive effect on provincial technology innovation, but it no significant spillover effects. Finally, this paper put forward the eastern, central and western region difference innovation countermeasures and suggestions.