基于模糊理论的跨国农产品供应链风险识别与评估

Risk Identification and Evaluation of Transnational Agricultural Product Supply Chain Based on Fuzzy Theory

摘要:

农产品供应链是具有高风险的特殊供应链,分析和评估农产品供应链风险是一项非常重要的工作。以一个三阶段跨国农产品供应链为研究对象,首先构建了一套农产品供应链的风险识别框架模型,并识别出供应链内外部及衔接阶段的风险因素；其次,引入模糊三角数,结合多属性决策的方法,邀请专家依据风险因素的属性对农产品供应链风险评估,建立了农产品供应链的模糊多属性评估方法模型；最后,结合具体算例进行了验证。

Abstract:

Agricultural product supply chain is a special supply chain with high risk, it’s an important work to analyze and evaluate the risk of agricultural product supply chain. Taking a three phase transnational agricultural product supply chain as the research object, first of all ,building a set of agricultural product supply chain risk identification frame model, and identify risk factors in internal and external supply chain as well as the cohesive section; Secondly, introducing triangular fuzzy numbers, combine multiple attribute decision making method, invite experts to evaluate the risks according to the properties of agricultural products supply chain risk, established a fuzzy multiple attribute evaluation model of the agricultural products supply chain; Finally, verifying the model combining with specific examples.