[关键词]
[摘要]
文章基于大数据思想、情报计量学理论、创新管理理论、计量经济学理论,对石油天然气行业的论文数据与油气产量数据进行分析,以验证石油天然气行业科研创新与行业产出之间的关系。通过分析,发现石油天然气行业论文数量与行业油气产量之间存在显著相关的关系,其次社会科学方面的研究成果相对自然科学方面的研究成果对于行业油气产量影响较少,再次经过平稳性检验、自相关检验、异方差检验等,得出了中国科学引文数据库收录的石油天然气行业论文数与油气产量之间存在确定性的函数关系。最后文章对各部分的经济含义进行了详细阐述,并对文章做出研究总结。
[Key word]
[Abstract]
Based on large data thought and intelligence metrology theory, innovation management theory, econometric theory, papers of oil and gas industry data and oil and gas production data are analyzed to verify the relationship between the output of oil and gas industry and scientific research innovation. By analyzing those data, this paper finds that the number of oil and gas industry and industry’s output exist a significant correlation relationship, secondly the research of social sciences show relatively weak influence on oil and gas production than natural science research. Through stationarity test, autocorrelation test, different variance test, etc., it is concluded that the number of papers which are retrieved by Chinese science citation database in oil and gas industry has a deterministic function with oil and gas production. Finally this paper expounds the detail economic meaning of each part, and make a research summary of it.
[中图分类号]
F062.5
[基金项目]
国家哲学社会科学基金西部项目(12XGL013)、四川省哲学社会科学“十一五”规划项目((SC10E028)、四川省教育厅2014年人文社会科学重点项目(14SA0021)、西南石油大学人文社科专项(2013RW010)