丝绸之路经济带我国西北地区城市群协调发展研究*

Research on the Coordinated Development of Economy, Society and Environment of Urban Agglomerations in Northwest China along the Silk Road Economic Belt

摘要:

摘要：以新丝绸之路经济带境内西北段五个城市群为研究对象，从经济、社会和环境三个系统构建指标体系，运用改进熵值法、耦合协调度函数及综合协调发展度模型等进行实证分析，得出结论：①“丝带”西北地区各城市群间任意两子系统耦合协调度水平较高，空间呈不均衡分布；②三系统综合协调度水平整体偏低，以过渡型为主，既有升入协调发展类的基础，又面临跌落至失调衰退类等级的危险；③针对三系统综合协调呈现不同特征的城市，如综合协调度水平较高、三大系统发展指数差异明显、三子系统等级均较落后等，各城市应因地制宜加以调整发展；④该区域经济和社会系统的发展指数是制约城市综合协调度提升的关键性因素，应充分利用“一带一路”的政策红利和战略机遇，提升三系统综合耦合度，预防其割裂、脱节。

Abstract:

Abstract: Take the Silk Road’s urban agglomerations in northwest China as the research object. This essay establishes index system from 3 dimensions: economy, society and environment. Improved entropy and coupling coordination degree function and comprehensive coordination model are used to evaluate and analyze. We draw the conclusions: ①any two subsystems coupling coordinated development degree of the research object and most of cities of it are relatively high level, and spatial distribution is not balanced that east and west sides are better than intermediate; ②three systems comprehensive coordination degree of the research object is not optimistic, and the transitional type is the main part, which can rise to the coordinated development but also is in danger of falling to declining level;③as for the cities which show different characteristics in comprehensive coordination of three systems, every city should suit measures to local conditions to adjust the development;④The economic and social development index are the key factor for the increase of city comprehensive coordination degree in this area. We should make full use of "the Silk Road Economic Belt and the Sea Silk Road" policy benefit and strategic opportunity to accelerate economic and social progress, to improve the comprehensive coordination degree of three systems, to prevent them from fragmenting, disjointing.