碳生产率视角下经济增长与低碳进程的协调发展研究——基于24个碳排放大国的实证分析

Research on Coordinate Development between Economic Growth and Low-carbon Process from the Perspective of Carbon Productivity —— Based on the Empirical Analysis of 24 Main Carbon Emission Countries

摘要:

碳生产率是低碳经济领域的重要概念,在协调经济增长与低碳发展的进程中,碳生产率的增长率成为一个很好的衡量指标。本文选取24个碳排放大国为研究对象,比较分析了1990-2011年碳生产率的发展状态并进行综合评价,以人均碳排放和人均GDP为标准将其划分为三种类型,并基于Tapio脱钩指数研究了经济增长与碳排放的脱钩状态,研究认为新兴市场国家尤其是发展中国家相对发达国家碳生产率较低,但碳生产率的增长率可能很高,比如中国,其碳排放增长的原因主要来自于经济发展,今后在努力发展经济的过程中要注重经济增长与低碳排放的协调发展,避免走美国等国高碳排放的老路。

Abstract:

Carbon productivity is an important concept in the field of low carbon economy, and the growth rate of carbon productivity is one suitable measure in the process of between economic growth and the low-carbon process. The paper assesses 24 main carbon emission countries and compares their states of development from 1990 to 2011, and divides it into three types by the standards of per capita carbon emissions and per capita GDP. And then analyzes the decoupling state of economic growth and carbon emission based on Tapio decoupling index. This study shows that compared to the developed countries, carbon productivity of emerging-market countries is lower, especially the developing countries, but the growth of that may be higher such as China, its’ growth of carbon emissions is due to its economic growth. Therefore, the Coordinate Development between economic growth and the low-carbon process should be paid more and more attention in the process of economic development to avoid the countries’, such as America, fate of high carbon emission.