国内外技术预见研究现状分析-基于文献计量学视角

The Analysis of Technology Foresight Research Conditions in China and Abroad—Based on Biblio-metrics

摘要:

采用文献计量和知识可视化方法，以国外Web of science和国内CNKI数据库中技术预见研究的文献为数据来源，从宏观、中观、微观三个层面对国内外技术预见研究现状进行定量和定性分析，将熵权法用于该领域主要研究国家和作者的学术影响力的综合评价，并揭示了该领域国家间合作情况，分析了国内外技术预见研究内容的异同，为国内技术预见研究提供参考。

Abstract:

Taking Web of Science and China Academic Journal Network Publishing Database (CNKI) as data sources，this article conducts both quantitative and qualitative analyses of the papers in the field of technology foresight with statistical analysis and knowledge visualization method, and the entropy coefficient method is applied to the comprehensive evaluation of the academic influence of the country and the author in this field, revealing the cooperations between the main countries in this field. In addition, we also analyse the differences of technology foresight research contents between home and abroad, and gives references for the research of domestic technology foresight.