五大发展理念下下我国农业科技进步贡献的区域比较研究

Research on Regional Comparison of China's Agricultural Science and Technology Progress Contribution under Five Development Ideas

摘要:

运用索洛余值法测算了我国农业科技进步贡献率的区域差异。研究表明,空间滞后模型更适合分析我国农业科技进步贡献率的区域差异；上海、北京、浙江、广东等经济发达地区的农业科技进步贡献率较高,安徽、内蒙古、湖北、河南等粮食主产区的农业科技进步贡献率偏低。基于2020年我国各地区农业科技进步贡献率要达到60%以上的发展目标和五大发展理念,提出了提高各地区农业科技进步贡献率的政策建议。

关键词:农业;农业科技进步贡献率;空间滞后模型;创新驱动

Abstract:

The regional difference of agricultural science and technology progress contribution rate is estimated with the use of Solow residual method. Research has shown that the spatial lag model is more suitable for the analysis of regional difference of the agricultural science and technology progress contribution rate. The agricultural technology progress contribution rate is higher in Shanghai, Beijing, Zhejiang, Guangdong and other developed areas, while lower in Anhui, Inner Mongolia, Hubei, Henan and other major grain producing areas. Based on the development goal of agricultural science and technology progress contribution rate to achieve 60% above in 2020 and five development ideas, put forward the suggestions on improving regional agricultural science and technology progress contribution rate.

Key words:agriculture; agricultural science and technique progress contribution rate; spatial lag model; five development ideas