科技服务业投入与产出要素影响关系的实证研究——以西安为例

The empirical research on the influncing relation between input factors and output factors of S&T service-----for an example of Xi' an

摘要:

内容：科技服务业的投入要素指标有科技活动人员数、科研项目完成数、R &D经费支出数；产出要素指标有科技服务业增加值、专利授权数、科技论著发表数。文章在对实际统计数据进行分析演示的基础上,断定科技投入要素与科技产出要素之间存在线性正相关关系,进而在假设科技投入要素与产出要素符合经典线性回归的前提下,探讨它们之间的影响程度。实证研究发现：科研项目完成数显著影响科技论著发表数、专利授权数、科技服务业增加值,是影响科技产出的共性因素；科技活动人员数显著影响专利授权数和科技服务业增加值,但对科技论著发表数影响不明显；而上年R& D经费支出数只对科技服务业增加值有显著影响,但对专利授权数、科技论著发表数无明显影响,而科研项目完成数是唯一显著影响科技论著发表数的决定因素。在此基础上,对西安市科技服务业发展提出了政策性建议。

关键词:科技服务业; 投入要素;产出要素

Abstract:

The input factor of S T service includes the number of staff of scientific and technological activities, the number of achieved scientific research projects, and the expenditure of R &D ; the output factor of S& T service contains the added value of S& T service, the number of patents licensing, and the number of published papers of science and technology. Based on the analysis and demonstration of statistical data, the conclusion is made out that input factors abide by linear relationship between output factors. After the hypothesis that the input factors and output factors obey classic linear regression is put forward, the influence relation between them is explored. The empirical research finds out that the number of achieved scientific research projects is the common influencing factor for the three output variables, the number of staff of scientific and technological activities affects the added value of S& T service and the number of patents licensing but the number of published papers of science and technology. The expenditure of R &D of previous year only influences the added value of S &T service obviously, but has no effect to the number of published papers of science and technology and the number of patents licensing. Only the number of achieved scientific research projects which is the unique determining factor influences the number of published papers of science and technology significantly. In the end, some proposals about the development of S& T service in Xi’an is presented to the local administrator.

Key words:S & T service; input factors; output factors