基于项目集群理论的特高压工程大规模建设潜在管理风险分析

Analysis on Potential Management Risk of Large-scale UHV Construction Based on Project Cluster Theory

摘要:

为满足我国经济社会发展的能源电力需求，国家电网公司自成立以来积极创新我国能源电力发展方式，发展特高压电网、走大范围能源资源优化配置的发展道路，取得了显著成绩。随着我国特高压输电技术的成熟，我国目前已经进入特高压电网大规模建设的新阶段，大规模建设意味着多个大型工程项目（项目集群）同时推进建设，给各方面的资源、能力带来巨大挑战，要实现特高压电网大规模建设的安全优质高效目标，必须做好风险分析和风险预控工作。本文从保障大规模建设的安全优质高效按期目标出发，以项目集群理论和现代风险管理理论为指导，在特高压电网大规模建设面临的机遇和挑战分析基础上，采用研究构建的风险框架对特高压工程大规模建设的各个环节关键风险点进行了识别和分析，通过分析查找出了6个一级维度、18个二级维度的28个具体风险点。通过潜在的管理风险识别，不仅能够使我们更加清晰特高压电网建设的管控重点，也能够为后续建设管理模式的优化完善提供借鉴参考。

关键词:项目集群理论;特高压工程;大规模建设;风险分析

Abstract:

In order to satisfying the energy and electricity needs of the economic and social development, State Grid Corporation of China（SGCC） has made a great innovation in the development of China's energy and electricity. SGCC made a great progress in the development of UHV grid, and the development of a large range of energy resources allocation. With the maturity of the UHV transmission technology in China, China has now entered the new stage of large-scale construction of UHV grid, which means a large engineering project cluster and promoting at the same time, bringing great challenges to the resource allocation and management ability. In order to realize safe, high quality and efficient construction of the large-scale UHV grid, we must do a good job in risk analysis and risk pre-control. Based on the analysis of the opportunities and challenges in the large-scale construction of UHV grid, this paper identifies and analyzes 28 key risk points, which belongs tosix first level risk dimensions and 18 second level risk dimensions. Through the potential management of risk identification, we can not only make clearer about the key of construction management, but also can provide a reference for the optimization of the following construction management mode.

Key words:Project Cluster Theory;UHV Engineering;Large-scale UHV Construction;Risk Analysis