以文献研究法分析我国IT企业科研人才流失现状,应用德尔菲法从环境、组织、工作和个人几方面总结影响我国IT企业科研人才流失的关键因素,并将层次分析法和因素评分法相结合构建适用于我国IT企业科研人才流失的预警模型,测评对象可能的得分为(0,100］,划分为(0,25］、(25,50］、(50,75］、(75,100］四个区间,对应巨警、重警、中警、轻警四个危机等级,根据测评结果,有针对性地提出管理对策,以期减少IT企业科研人才流失。

The paper applies the methods of literature investigation to the analysis of the current situation of scientific research brain drain in the IT companies, and adopts Delphi method to summarize the key factors from four aspects of environment, organization, work and individual, which influence the research brain drain of the IT companies , and combines AHP with the fator -rating method to structure an early warning model which applies to the scientific research brain drain of the IT companies in China. The early warning model divides the scores of evaluated-persons into four intervals, from 0 to 25,from 25 to 50,from 50 to 75,from 75 to 100,which corresponding crisis degrees are gaint warnings, heavy warnings, medium warnings and slight warnings . According to the results of evaluation, some management countermeasures can be taken to reduce the rates of scientific research brain drain in the IT companies.

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教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目“新员工组织信任形成机制及其与离职倾向的关系研究”(11YJA630073)；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“员工组织信任与工作压力的关系研究”(sk2015004)