我国生产性服务业集聚与产业结构优化升级

China’s Producer Services Agglomeration and Industrial Structure Optimization and Upgrading: the Empirical Test Based on the Interprovincial Panel Data from 2005 to 2014

摘要:

本文运用区位商指数(LQ)测算并分析了我国30个省市地区的生产性服务业集聚程度。以产业结构优化(IND)为因变量,生产性服务业集聚度(LQ)作为核心解释变量；将外商直接投资(FDI)、经济增长水平(RGDP) 、技术进步(TEC)、城市化水平(URBAN)作为控制变量,通过计量模型实证检验了生产性服务业集聚对产业结构优化升级的影响。研究表明：2005-2013年间我国各省市生产性服务业呈集聚发展态势,但省际间不均衡特征明显；生产性服务业集聚能显著促进我国产业结构优化升级；城镇化水平、经济增长亦对我国产业结构优化升级具有正效应,但外商直接投资、技术进步呈负效应。最后,本文提出了促进我国生产性服务业集聚实现产业结构优化升级的政策建议。

Abstract:

This paper used the location quotient index (LQ) to estimate and analyze the concentration degree of the producer services of Chinese 30 provinces, municipal cities and regions. Then used the econometric model, this paper empirical tested the effects of the producer services agglomeration to the industrial structure optimization and upgrading, making industrial structure optimization(IND)as the dependent variable, the producer services agglomeration(LQ) as the core explanatory variable, and the foreign direct investment(FDI), the economic growth level (RGDP),the technological progress(TEC) ,the urbanization level (URBAN)as the control variables. The results showed that the producer services industry had the trend of agglomeration during 2005 to 2013, but the concentration degree is not balanced; the producer services agglomeration had an significant positive effect on the industrial structure optimization and upgrading; the urbanization level and the economic growth level had the promoting effect on China’s industrial structure optimization and upgrading, but the foreign direct investment and the technological progress had the negative effect. Finally, the paper proposed some suggestions on promoting the agglomeration of China’s Producer Services industry and upgrading the industrial structure.