江苏省金融发展与产业结构升级研究

An Empirical Study on Financial Development forthe Upgrading of Industrial Structure in Jiangsu Province

摘要:

面对经济发展的新常态,江苏省在“十三五”规划中明确提出要加快构建现代产业新体系,使省内产业迈向中高端水平,实现产业结构的优化升级。因此,研究如何发挥金融发展对江苏省产业结构升级的促进作用具有现实意义。本文在选取衡量江苏省金融发展与产业结构升级的各项指标以及在对各变量进行协整检验的基础上,构建VAR模型,并对金融发展和产业结构升级之间的关系进行格兰杰因果检验。结果表明江苏省金融发展与产业结构升级之间存在长期均衡关系,金融发展是促进江苏省产业结构升级的格兰杰原因,是江苏省产业结构优化升级的重要助推器。并据此提出江苏省更好地利用金融发展加快地区产业结构转型升级的对策。

Abstract:

In the face of the economic development of the new normal. The 13th Five-Year Plan of jiangsu province clearly put forward to speed up building a new system of modern industry,the industry in the province towards a high level,realizing the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. Therefore, studying how to play the financial development to promote upgrading of industrial structure in jiangsu province has realistic significance. In this article, Based on the selected measure the indicators of financial support and upgrade of industrial structure in jiangsu province,and the cointegration test on the various variables,building the VAR model and Granger causality test. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the financial support and upgrade of industrial structure in jiangsu province,financial support is a Granger cause of promote the upgrading of industrial structure in jiangsu province,financial support is an important booster of the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in jiangsu province..Accordingly, puts forward some policy suggestions for the better use of financial development to speed up the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure in jiangsu province.