基于模糊群决策理论的企业研发外包风险评价——以浙江X控股集团为例

Risk Assessment of R D Outsourcing based on Fuzzy Group Decision Making

摘要:

随着社会经济结构形式的不断演变,企业间分工越来越明确,各类企业出于对自身效率和成本的考虑,将非核心的各类业务实行外包。在部分企业研发外包成功的同时,也有诸多企业由于研发外包不当导致失败,如错误选择研发供应商而导致研发失败或者技术泄密等,或由于核心业务界定错误导致自身相对技术创新能力下降等。基于上述状况,企业恰当地实施研发外包的首要任务就是正确地评价企业正在或即将外包的研发业务风险水平,并作为管理层对研发外包决策的参考依据。从企业研发外包风险的特点出发,选用模糊群决策理论的相关研究成果建立起了由专家权重确立、风险因素和事件权重确立、评价意见集结公式等部分组成的多专家共同对企业研发外包风险实施评价的模型,并通过案例运用,对所提出的评价模型的可靠性和简易型进行验证。

Abstract:

In modern society, the division of work becomes more and more clear cut because of the evolution of the economic structure and form. In concern of the cost and efficiency, many kinds of enterprises outsource their “not core business” to other enterprises which are more good at it. While some got the success, other enterprises failed by R D outsourcing. For example, some failed to complete R D projects or leak their key information because they chose the wrong R D suppliers, some found their core competitiveness down because failed to indentify the core businesses. Concerning the circumstances above, the appropriate risk management of R D outsourcing, the firs work of which are the risk assessment of R D outsourcing, seems very important. This study based on the concept of “four parts risk system”, construct a group assessment model of the risk of R D outsourcing by using some achievements of other group decision-making, such as the methods of give the weight of experts and risk facts, the methods of composite the decisions of many experts and so on. Doing this can fit for the complexity and vagueness of the risk of R D outsourcing. Besides, this essay will test the complicity and validity of the assessment model by using it to assess the R D outsourcing risk of a real enterprise.