工业化和城市化因素对碳排放的影响

The impact of industrialization and urbanization on carbon dioxide emissions in China

摘要:

中国的经济处在高速发展阶段，经济发展过程中工业化和城市化的发展对碳排放有着重要的影响。通过建立全国时间序列分析模型和省级面板数据模型，研究结果表明：1993—2001年间，我国工业化比城市化对碳排放的拉动作用更大，2002—2014年间城市化比工业化对碳排放的拉动作用大；对于三类收入水平不同的地区，工业化、人均GDP及建成区面积因素均对碳排放起正向拉动作用，而城市化因素因经济发展阶段不同，对碳排放的作用不尽相同。

Abstract:

With the fast economic growth, the development of industrialization and urbanization exerts great impact on the CO2 emissions. In this work, Time Series Data Model and Panel Data Model are established to explore the impact of industrialization and urbanization exerted on CO2emissions in different stages in China. The conclusion is that industrialization brought more CO2 emissions than urbanization did from 1993 to 2001, whereas, urbanization brought more CO2 emissions from 2002 to 2014. The factors of industrialization, per capita GDP and area of built district have positive impact on the CO2 emissions in the regions ofdifferent income level. The impact of urbanization varies in different regions.