基于系统动力学的风电产业价值链增值效应研究

Research on value increment effect of wind power industry based on system dynamics

摘要:

我国风电产业实现了由孤立经营阶段到产业化发展阶段的逐步过渡,出现了产业链盈利模式单一、价值增长缓慢等问题。本文在论述风电产业价值链结构及其运作机制的基础上,分析了风电产业价值链增值系统的动态复杂性,构建了风电产业价值链增值效应的系统动力学模型,研究了价值链的整体增值趋势,探讨了影响风电产业价值增值的主要因素,并对其影响因素进行灵敏性分析,为我国风电产业转型及实现价值增值提供了一定参考。

Abstract:

The wind power industry in China has achieved a gradual transition from isolated operation stage to industrialization development stage. There are problems such as the single profit mode of the industry chain, the slow value growth and so on. On the basis of discussing the structure and operation mechanism of the value chain of the wind power industry, this paper analyzes the dynamic complexity of the wind power industry value chain system, constructs the system dynamics model of value increment effect of the wind power industry, studies on the trend of the whole value chain, discusses the main factors influencing the wind power industry value increment, and analyzes the sensitivity of the factors. This paper provides certain reference for the transformation of China"s wind power industry and the realization of value increment.