基于距离协同模型的京津冀协同发展水平测度

Synergetic development degree evaluation of Beijing Tianjin Hebei regional based on distance collaborative model

摘要:

京津冀协同发展已成为重大国家战略,对京津冀协同发展水平进行测度能够有效为京津冀协同发展提供指导。本文根据京津冀协同发展的战略目标选取指标体系,并运用距离协同模型对京津冀1995-2014年间的面板数据进行分析,定量反映了此间京津冀区域协同发展水平,结果表明：1995-2014年间,京津冀区域的协同发展度与发展度不断提高,但协同度总体总体呈下降趋势,协同发展度的提高越来越落后于发展度的提高,其中,1995-2000年间,京津冀发展度增长较为缓慢,协同度变化较小,2001-2003年间,协同度有小幅提升且发展度开始加快增长,2003-2010年间,京津冀发展度快速增加,但协同度快速下降2010年之后发展度增长有所放缓,协同度稍有提高,京津冀协同发展战略逐渐开始发挥作用；在京津冀协同发展战略实施过程中,推动河北发展十分关键。

Abstract:

Promoting the synergetic development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has already become a major national strategy, which makes it significant to evaluat the level of synergetic development so as to help making policy.This paper builds an index system according to the objectives of the synergetic development strategic , then analyzes the panel data of this region from 1995 to 2014, quantitatively reflecting the synergetic development situation of this region, concluding that the synergetic development degree continuously increase as same as the development degree in this period, but the overall synergy degree is decreasing and the increasing of synergetic development degree is more and more lagging behind that of development degree.During the beginning years of 1995 to 2000, the increasing of development degree of this region was relatively tardy, and the synergetic degree fluctuated slightly. From 2001 to 2003, the synergy degree increased slightly and the development degree began to increase quicker. From 2003 to 2010, the development degree increased rapidly, while the synergetic degree decreased rapidly. After 2010, the growth of development degree slowed down, but the synergy degree increased slightly, indicating that the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei synergetic development strategy gradually began to play its role; It is vital to promote the development of Hebei in implementing this national strategy.