长江经济带经济发展-创新能力-生态环境耦合协调发展研究

Research on Coupling Coordination Development of Rigional Economic Growth-Innovation Ability-Ecological Environment in Yangtze River Economic Zone

摘要:

在阐述经济发展-创新能力-生态环境交互协调发展作用机理的基础上，构建了综合评价指标体系，借助物理耦合度模型和耦合协调度数学模型，对长江经济带11省市近十年的省际面板数据进行实证分析。研究表明：长江经济带近十年的整体发展属于初级耦合协调阶段。具体表现在区域间协调度低，区域内经济、创新、生态三系统间发展不均衡；东部三省耦合协调度高，系统间呈良性共振发展；中西部省市耦合协调度偏低，部分省市的经济和环境的发展曲线异向运行趋势显著，粗放式经济发展模式与地区生态环境承载力不匹配；个别区域的创新能力对经济和生态的支撑作用仍不明显，其发展的孤岛态势造成对其他系统的溢出效能甚微，对优化产业结构，反哺经济和环境的能力较弱。

Abstract:

On the basis of illustrating the interactive coupling mechanism of economic development, innovation capability and ecological environment, this article established the comprehensive evaluation index system, using the physical coupling-degree model and mathematical model of coupling coordination to do the empirical study on the provincial panel data from the 11 provinces and municipalities in Yangtze River economic belt. The result has shown that, the general coupling coordinated development degree of the Yangtze River economic belt in the past decade was still in initial stage, mainly reflecting in the low interregional coordination degree and the imbalanced development among regional economy, innovation, and ecology. Specifically speaking, the high coupling coordination degrees of three eastern provinces shown the interaction positive resonance of growth, and the relative low in the midwest provinces; meanwhile, it should be noted that the economic and environmental developmental curves was growing obviously in different way. The main influences are as follows: the incompatibility between the extensive economic development model and carrying capacity of regional ecological environment; the insufficient support from technological innovation to the economy and ecology in some areas, and little spillover effect on other systems resulting from its developmental islanding situation, which can neither optimize industrial structure, nor feedback the economy and environment.