考虑排污权交易的企业生产决策鲁棒优化

Robust Optimization of Enterprise’s Production Decision Considering Emission Trading

摘要:

排污权交易是当前备受各国关注的创新型减排政策，考虑排污权交易的企业生产优化问题被描述成风险或不确定条件下的决策问题。由于排放依赖型生产企业所面对的产品需求具有较大不确定性，本文研究面向产品需求不确定的排污权交易企业生产决策。首先在确定生产技术的条件下，针对产品需求不确定性，建立企业收益函数，然后基于最小最大后悔值准则构建企业生产决策鲁棒模型，求解相对最优鲁棒生产决策。最后通过数值分析说明本章模型的应用，为企业生产过程中决策者应对不确定决策提供一定的建议和指导，进一步提高企业对排污权交易机制的适应性。

Abstract:

Emission trading is an innovative emission reduction policy which has been concerned by various countries. The production optimization problem considering emissions trading is described as a decision problem under the condition of risk or uncertainty. As the emissions-dependent production enterprises are faced with greater uncertainty in product demand, this paper studies the production decision-making of emissions trading enterprises facing the uncertainty of product demand. First, under the condition of determining production technology, the enterprise income function is established according to the uncertainty of product demand, and building businesses based on Minimax regret criterion produce robust models for decision-making, solving the relatively robust decision making. Finally, the application of this model is illustrated by numerical analysis, which can provide some advice and guidance for decision-makers to deal with uncertain decision-making in the production process, and further improve the enterprise's ability to adapt to the emission trading system.