基于系统动力学的建筑碳排放预测研究

Building Carbon Emissions Prediction Research Based on System Dynamics

摘要:

建筑的碳排放是能源消耗碳排放的重要组成部分，降低碳排放是缓解温室效应的重要手段。文章以系统动力学模型为基础分析建筑碳排放的影响因素，设置不同仿真情景预测建筑碳排放的未来发展趋势及其内在逻辑关系，进而为降低建筑能源消耗、减少碳排放总量、实现建筑的绿色可持续发展提供理论依据和减排路径。

关键词:建筑碳排放;系统动力学;节能减排

Abstract:

Building carbon emissions is an important component of energy consumption of carbon emissions, reducing carbon emissions is an important means of mitigating the greenhouse effect. Based on the system dynamics model, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of building carbon emissions, sets up different simulation scenarios to predict the future development trend and internal logic relationship of building carbon emissions.To provide theoretical guidance and countermeasures for reducing the building energy consumption, reducing the total amount of carbon emissions and realizing the green sustainable development of the building.

Key words:Building Carbon Emissions; System Dynamics Theory; Energy Conservation