我国医药制造业出口贸易活动与研发资金投入关系研究 ——基于VAR模型

A Study on the Relationship between Export Trade Activities and R&D Investment in China ''s Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Industry ——Based on VAR model

摘要:

摘要：目的 实证分析我国医药制造业出口贸易活动与研发资金投入的关系，为提升我国医药制造业研发投入水平和创新能力提供参考。方法 选取1998~2015年我国医药制造业相关数据，建立VAR模型进行协整检验，并借助脉冲响应函数和方差分解进行分析，以探求二者的相关关系。结论 我国医药制造业出口贸易活动对研发资金投入存在长期稳定的正向推动作用，出口贸易活动收益每增加1%，研发资金投入增加1.30%；且这种推动作用有一定的滞后性，滞后期为3年。建议 政府相关部门和企业都应当正确认识这种正向推动作用及其滞后性，并通过大力开展出口贸易活动从而带动研发资金投入的增加，最终提高产业创新能力和竞争力。

关键词:医药制造业;出口贸易活动;研发资金投入;VAR模型

Abstract:

Abstract:Objective To analyze the relationship between export trade activities and R&D capital investment in China''s pharmaceutical manufacturing industry, and to provide reference and suggestions for improving the level of R&D investment and innovation ability of pharmaceutical manufacturing industry in China. Methods The data of Chinese medicine manufacturing industry from 1998 to 2015 were selected, and the VAR model was established to carry out co-integration test, impulse response function and variance analysis to explore the correlation between the two. Conclusion The export activities of pharmaceutical manufacturing in our country have a long-term and stable positive effect on R&D investment. For every 1% increase in export trade activities, R&D investment will increase by 1.30%. And this kind of promotion has some lag, with a lag of 3years. Suggestions Government departments and enterprises should correctly understand the positive role of promoting and lag, and through the vigorous development of export trade activities in order to increase R&D investment, and ultimately improve industrial innovation and competitiveness.

Key words:Pharmaceutical manufacturing industry; Export trade activities; R&;D capital investment; VAR model