中国绿色增长评价指标体系构建及实证测度研究

The Research on Construction of Green Growth Evaluation System and Empirical Measurement of China

摘要:

改革开放30多年以来，中国经济实现了举世瞩目的高速增长，但却主要依靠政府主导的大规模投资与低要素成本优势，这种粗放型的经济增长方式所造成的资源过度消耗、环境质量恶化等一系列问题正在吞噬着国民福祉，中国经济增长亟需要由“粗放型”向“绿色增长型”转变。在对国内外有关于绿色增长评价体系进行梳理的基础上，构造绿色增长六大准则层，设置评价指标，运用相关性分析与粗糙集相集成的指标约简方法，萃取出绿色增长评价指标体系；在此基础上，运用熵-TOPSIS方法对中国2002-2015年绿色增长水平进行测度分析，并相应地提出中国未来绿色增长之路的前进方向和发展侧重点。

Abstract:

Over the past 30 years, since the reform and opening up, China’s economy has achieved remarkable growth, which depends on large scale investment and low cost advantage. A series of problems, such as excessive resource consumption and environmental degradation caused by extensive economic growth have swallowed up the national welfare. All in all, China’s economic growth needs to be transformed from "extensive" to "green growth". This article constructs six criterion layers on the basis of literature review of green growth evaluation system at home and abroad and sets indicators. Then the evaluation indicator system of green growth can be extracted by means of correlation analysis and rough sets. Based on this, empirical research of China’s green growth level during 2002-2015 can be completed by Entropy-TOPSIS model. Finally, some suggestions and countermeasures have been put forward in order to promote China’s green growth.