基于生物进化的产业创新生态系统演化及仿真分析

The evolution and simulation analysis of the industrial innovation ecosystem based on the biological evolutionism

摘要:

结合创新3.0,基于技术、市场和社会生态位构造产业创新生态系统框架；采用生物进化理论描述各生态位影响变量之间的关系,构建产业创新生态系统的演化模型,并通过8家新材料上市公司的演化来验证模型的适用性。演化仿真结果表明：技术生态位与企业发展并非线性相关,企业应根据政策和市场情况,确定合适的研发费用率；市场生态位与企业发展正向相关,但对以研发费用率为代表的技术生态位影响不大；社会生态位与企业发展正向相关,但受限于市场和技术生态位,在其到达一定程度后对企业发展影响较小。

Abstract:

Combined with the innovation 3.0, the framework of industrial innovation ecosystem is constructed based on technology, market and social niche. And the evolution model of industrial innovation ecosystem is constructed by using the theory of biological evolution to describe the relationship between the influence variables of each niche. What’s more, the applicability of the model is verified by adopting 8 new material listed companies. And the simulation results show as follows. First, the technology niche is not linearly related to the development of the enterprise, and enterprises should determine the appropriate rate of R D according to the policy and market conditions. Second, market niche is positively related to enterprise development, but it has little influence on technical niche represented by R D cost rate. Finally, social niche is positively related to enterprise development, but it is limited to market and technology niche and has little impact on enterprise development after its development to a certain extent.