“十二五”期间我国省际能源效率的综合评价及影响因素分析

The comprehensive evaluation and feature analysis of the provincial energy efficiency in China during the period of 12th Five-year plan

摘要:

本文在全要素的能源效率框架下应用共同前沿下的SBM模型（简称MSBM模型）研究“十二五”期间我国省际能源效率的表现及差异。研究发现：“十二五”期间我国省际能源效率仍维持较低水平，且地区间差异性也在显著增加。我国省际能源效率的平均水平为0.58，说明在削减40%能源投入水平的情况下仍能实现现有的经济产出水平，节能减排的潜力较大。在实证分析中，本文应用空间统计方法对能源效率的自相关性展开检验并利用空间计量模型对能源效率的影响因素进行讨论。实证结果显示：我国省级地区的能源效率具有正向的空间自相关性，能源消费结构、能源开发水平和二次产业占比对能源效率具有一定程度的负面效应，技术创新和城镇化率为能源效率的提升提供支持作用。

Abstract:

The paper applied the panel data of the 30 provinces and the meta-frontier SBM model in China during the period of 12th Five-year plan in the multi-factors energy efficiency framework to calculate the provincial energy efficiency. It is found that the provincial energy efficiency in China still maintains a low level during the "12th Five-Year" period, and the difference between regions is increasing significantly. The average level of provincial energy efficiency in China is 0.58, indicating that the current level of economic output can still be achieved when the level of 40% energy input is reduced, and the potential of energy saving and emission reduction is relatively large. The application of spatial statistical analysis and spatial econometric model of provincial energy efficiency results show that energy efficiency has a significant spatial autocorrelation, energy consumption structure, energy development level and the proportion of the second industry weaken the improvement of the energy efficiency while the technology innovation and urbanization rate support for the increasing trend of energy efficiency.