科技与金融耦合系统脆弱性评价 ——基于湖北省的实证研究

The Coupling System of Technology and Finance Vulnerability’s Evaluation Based on the Empirical Research in Hubei Province

摘要:

科技与金融的耦合发展在促进现代经济增长的同时，也会给金融稳定带来一定的冲击。从脆弱性的角度出发，在分析科技与金融耦合系统脆弱性内涵及特征的基础上，建立评价指标体系，运用函数模型对2000-2016年湖北省科技与金融耦合系统脆弱性进行了综合评价。结果表明：耦合脆弱性指数经历了一个“先下降、再上升、后下降”的演变过程，总体呈现下降趋势，发生脆弱性事故的可能性较小。敏感性和恢复力对耦合脆弱性的贡献度都很高，从降低敏感性和提高恢复力两个角度提出了控制湖北省科技与金融耦合系统脆弱性的措施。

Abstract:

The coupled development of technology and finance will promote modern economic growth and will also bring about certain impact on financial stability. From the perspective of vulnerability, based on the analysis of the connotation and characteristics of the coupling system of technology and finance vulnerability, an evaluation index system was established, and a functional model was used to comprehensively evaluate the coupling system of technology and finance vulnerability in Hubei Province from 2000 to 2016. The results show as follows: The vulnerability index has undergone an evolutionary process of “decline, rise and decline”. Overall, reduction is the dominant trend, and the coupling system of technology and finance is less likely to be adversely affected and damaged. Sensitivity and resilience have a high degree of contribution to vulnerability. From the perspectives of reducing sensitivity and improving resilience, measures are proposed to control the coupling system of technology and finance vulnerability in Hubei Province.