基于SBM-Malquist-Tobit的“一带一路”重点省份绿色经济效率评价及影响因素分析

The Evaluation of “The Belt And Road ” Provinces’ Green Economic Efficiency and Analysis of Influencing Factors Based on SBM-Malquist-Tobit

摘要:

从绿色经济新形态的视角出发,综合选取合理的绿色经济效率评价指标,以“一带一路”重点省份2006-2016年的数据为依据,利用SBM模型及Malmquist指数对绿色经济效率以及全要素生产率进行分析,据此对各省份及区域整体的绿色经济发展水平进行科学评价,并利用Tobit模型进行回归分析,对可能影响绿色经济效率的因素进行探究和识别,研究表明：西部和东北部分省份绿色经济发展水平低于其它省份,但区域间差距在缩小,城市化率等指标对效率值存在不同方向的影响。最后提出区域发展和提高绿色经济水平的相关建议。

Abstract:

From the perspective of the new form of green economy, a reasonable indicator of green economic efficiency is selected, on the basis of the data of the Belt and Road key provinces between 2006 and 2016,SBM model and Malmquist index are used to analyze the green economic efficiency and total factor productivity. Based on this, the paper makes a scientific evaluation of the green economic development level of each province and the whole region. Further, the Tobit model is used for regression analysis to explore and identify the factors that may affect the efficiency of green economy. The results show that the green economic development level of some provinces in the west and northeast is lower than other provinces, but the gap between regions is narrowing, and the urbanization rate and other indicators have different influence on the efficiency value. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on regional development and green economic level.