“工业4.0”对经济发展的影响及作用效果

Analysis of the Impact of“Industrial 4.0” on Economic Development——Based on the Empirical Analysis of Industry Panel Data of Germany

摘要:

技术创新是经济发展的重要动力和源泉,“工业4.0”将通过“消费智能化”和“生产智能化”对经济发展产生巨大冲击。本文以德国为研究对象,首次从实证角度探讨“工业4.0”的技术变革对经济发展的影响。“工业4.0”战略之后,德国经济及在世界的经济地位和国际竞争力均平稳快速增长；之后采用德国11个主要行业的面板数据,将物理信息系统作为“工业4.0”的支撑,得到其确实对德国经济发展有一定影响,信息物理系统中短期内物理层的投资会增加经济支出,但网络层和信息层在经济增长中会起到明显的促进作用；“工业4.0”战略提出之后的2014-2016年,时间效应显示德国产业发展出现了明显的正向拐点效应。

Abstract:

Technological innovation is an important motive force and source of economic development. “Industrial 4.0”will have a great impact on economic development through“consumption intellectualization” and“production intelligence”. Taking Germany as the research object, this paper discusses the impact of technological transformation on the economic development from the perspective of “Industrial 4.0”. After strategy, the economic and international economic and international competitiveness of the German economy grew steadily and rapidly. After the use of the panel data of the 11 major German industries, the physical information system was supported by the“Industrial 4.0”, and it had a certain effect on the development of the German economy, and the information physical system was in the short term, the investment in the internal physical layer will increase the economic expenditure, but the network layer and the information layer will play a significant role in the economic growth. After the strategy is put forward for 2014-2016, the time effect shows the obvious positive inflection point effect in the development of the German industry.