基于尖锥网络分析法的输变电工程应急能力评价研究

Research on Evaluation of Emergency Response Capacity of Transmission and Transformation Projects Based on Cone-ANP

摘要:

为了适应输变电工程的快速发展,提高输变电工程的应急能力水平,减少事故造成的损失,将尖锥网络分析法(Cone-ANP)引入到输变电工程的应急能力评价中。首先根据输变电工程的特点及一般应急理论,并通过查阅文献和走访专家调研,确定出16个三级指标；然后根据尖锥网络分析法的一般性结构构造出输变电工程的应急能力评价模型,再应用SD软件计算出各指标的隶属度向量；最后通过量化计算得出输变电工程应急能力的评定结果,并提出相应的整改措施。

Abstract:

In order to adapt to the rapid development of power transmission and transformation projects, improve the emergency response capability of power transmission and transformation projects, and reduce the losses caused by accidents, the Cone-ANP was introduced into the evaluation of emergency response capability of power transmission and transformation projects. Firstly, according to the characteristics of power transmission and transformation project and general emergency theory, and through consulting literature and visiting experts,16 three-level indicators were finally determined; Then, according to the general structure of the tip cone network analysis method, an assessment model for the emergency response capability of the power transmission project is constructed, and the SD software is used to calculate the membership degree vector of each index; Finally, the assessment results of the emergency response capacity of transmission and transformation projects are obtained through quantitative calculations, and corresponding correction measures are proposed.