双向投资对技术进步、环境的影响 ——基于面板门限模型分析

The Influence of Two-way Investment on Technological Progress and the Environment ——Based on Panel Threshold Model Analysis

摘要:

在理论分析外商直接投资（IFDI）与对外直接投资（OFDI）对技术进步和环境的影响机理上，利用我国2003-2016年省际面板数据，将我国双向投资、技术进步和环境问题置于同一个系统性的门限理论模型中。研究发现：从技术进步角度分析，我国存在IFDI的挤出效应和OFDI的逆向技术溢出效应，且随着经济发展水平的提高，相关作用效果逐步减弱；从环境角度分析，IFDI在我国存在“污染光环假说”，而OFDI对我国环境污染加重起推动作用。

Abstract:

In the theoretical analysis of the mechanism of foreign direct investment (IFDI) and foreign direct investment (OFDI) on technological progress and the environment, using China's 2003-2016 provincial panel data, China's two-way investment and technological progress and environmental issues In the same systematic threshold theory model. The research finds that from the perspective of technological progress, China has the extrusion effect of IFDI and the reverse technology spillover effect of OFDI, and with the improvement of economic development level, the related effects are gradually weakened; From the perspective of the environment, IFDI has a “pollution aura hypothesis” in China, and OFDI has promoted the increase of environmental pollution in China.