通过知识转移和知识融合实现创新价值共享已成为科技服务业与制造业协同发展的新途径。以知识转移理论与协同创新理论为基础,基于系统动力学视角构建了两业协同创新的动力学模型,利用Vensim DSS软件仿真,分析了随着知识融合的不断推进,两业协同创新的实现路径以及两业知识势能、知识创新率和知识转移率的变化态势,并就融合创新因子和政策因子,即制造企业知识需求、知识吸收能力、政府激励机制、财政投入、人才建设共五个因子,对两业创新率进行了灵敏度分析。结果表明,两业知识势能呈指数增长,知识创新率及知识转移率不断增加,融合创新因子和政策因子对两业创新率存在显著正向影响,研究结果可以为两业协同创新发展提供决策支持。

The innovation value sharing through knowledge transfer and knowledge integration has become a new way to the cooperative development of the scientific technological services industry and the manufacturing industry. Based on the knowledge transfer theory and the cooperative innovation theory, the cooperative innovation dynamic model of both industries was constructed from the system dynamics perspectives. The Vensim DSS software was engaged to analysis the realization path of the cooperative innovation in both industries when the knowledge integration continuously advances, as well as the variation trends of the knowledge potential energy, the knowledge innovation rate and the knowledge transfer rate in both industries. Based on these studies, the integration innovation factors and the policy factors,including the knowledge demand and knowledge absorption ability of themanufacturing industry,and the incentive mechanism, financial input and talent construction of the government ,were considered to analysis the sensitivity of the innovation rate in both industries. The results shows that, when the knowledge integration continuously advances, the knowledge potential energy grows exponentially, the knowledge innovation rate and the knowledge transfer rate increase continuously, and the integration innovation factors and the policy factors have striking positive influences on the innovation rate, which can provide decision supports for the cooperative innovation development of the scientific technological services industry and the manufacturing industry.

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天津市科委科技发展战略计划重点项目“天津市科技服务业制造服务模式研究”(16ZLZDZF00160)；天津市哲学社会科学规划项目：“工匠技艺在天津市制造业产业集群传播研究——基于隐性知识视角”(TJGL16-021)