基于系统动力学的新兴绿色产业链价值增值研究

Research on Value-added of Emerging Green Industry Chain Based on System Dynamics

摘要:

在我国绿色发展背景下，产业的转型升级面临日益严重的资源环境约束，新兴绿色产业的发展也面临诸多挑战。本文运用系统动力学方法并以新兴绿色产业为模拟对象，建立新兴绿色产业链价值增值的系统流图和系统动力学模型，应用Vensim PLE对模型进行了仿真模拟, 构建仿真模型对新兴绿色产业链价值增值进行仿真预测，进而对新兴绿色产业链价值增值的影响因素进行分析，为新兴绿色产业的培育及发展决策提供一定参考。

Abstract:

Under the background of China's green development, the transformation and upgrading of industries are facing increasingly serious resource and environmental constraints, and the development of emerging green industries is also facing many challenges.In this paper uses the system dynamics method and takes the emerging green industry as the simulation object to establish the system flow graph and system dynamics model of the value-added value of the emerging green industry chain.The model was simulated by Vensim PLE, and the simulation model was built to simulate and predict the value of the emerging green industry chain. Then the factors affecting the value-added of the emerging green industry chain were analyzed, which provided a reference for the cultivation and development decision of the emerging green industry.