基于ANP的新兴产业创业合成能力评价模型研究

WangGuohong, XuDa, HuangHao

摘要:

本文基于产业演化及创业合成相关理论,从新兴产业创业合成的宏观、中观、微观方面的影响因素切入,在文献分析的基础上运用德尔菲法确立了由宏观经济、市场规模、行政制度、科技金融、产业集聚、技术创新、人力资本、资金资本、资源整合9个维度共23个指标构成的新兴产业创业合成能力评价体系。基于网络层次分析法建立新兴产业创业合成能力评价模型,确定各指标权重,其中产业集聚区规模、协同创新、知识产权、市场成长性等二级评价指标权重较高。依据各指标的重要性为政府提升新兴产业创业合成能力及新兴产业内企业发展提出对策建议。

Abstract:

This paper, based on the theories related to industrial evolution and business dynamic, starts from the macroscopic, mesoscopic and microscopic influencing factors of business dynamic of emerging industries, and on the basis of literature analysis, uses Delphi method to establish an evaluation system of business dynamic ability of emerging industries consisting of 23 indicators from 9 dimensions including macro-economy, market size, administrative system, science and technology finance, industrial agglomeration, technological innovation, human capital, capital capital and resource integration. Based on the analytic network process (ANP), an evaluation model for the business dynamic ability of emerging industries was established to determine the weight of each index, among which the industrial cluster scale, collaborative innovation, intellectual property, market growth and other secondary evaluation indexes had a higher weight. Finally, according to the importance of various indicators, the paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for the government to improve the business dynamic capacity of emerging industries and for the development of emerging industrial enterprises.