基于GWR模型的互联网对第三产业区域影响研究——以2012与2016年中国各省横截面数据为例

Exploring the Regional Impact of Internet on the Tertiary Industry Based on Geographical Weighted Regression Model——Taking cross-sectional data from various provinces in China in 2012 and 2016 as an example

摘要:

21世纪以来，互联网逐渐成为第三产业发展的重要驱动力。为探究互联网对第三产业发展的影响在各省区域上的空间相关性和空间异质性，本文以2012和2016年横截面数据为例，采用地理加权回归（GWR）模型进行实证分析。研究结果发现，互联网对第三产业的区域影响分布与区域要素禀赋关联，并受到产业集聚与产业分散的交互作用。新时期以知识溢出与社群经济为核心的“服务众包模式”兴起，用户参与等“人”的因素更加突出。最后，本文对当前政府政策的制定与互联网企业的发展提出了合理建议。

Abstract:

Since the beginning of the 21st century, the Internet has become an important driving force for the development of the tertiary industry. In order to explore the spatial correlation and spatial heterogeneity of the provinces in the process of the synergistic development of China's Internet and the tertiary industry, this paper takes the 2012 and 2016 cross-sectional data as samples and uses the GWR model for empirical analysis. The study finds out that the regional distribution of the Internet's influence on the tertiary industry is related to the factor endowments in different regions and be affected by the industrial agglomeration and industrial dispersion. In the new era of service crowdsourcing mode, it is influenced by knowledge spillovers and the social economy, the “human” factor is more prominent. Finally, this paper provides reasonable suggestions for the development of current government policies and Internet companies.