技术创新，还是结构升级效率?一一推动高质量发展的主导动能分析

Technology Innovation, or Structural Upgrade Efficiency? ——The analysis of leading kinetic energy which promotes high quality development

摘要:

不同经济发展阶段的主导动能不同，文章基于动能转换视角，探讨了实现经济高质量发展所需的技术创新与产业结构升级两大主导动能之间的动态互动机制，并运用CHD模型来实证分析我国两大主导动能之间的关联关系，进一步利用GRA得到影响我国现阶段主导动能的关键因素。结果表明：在样本初期，两大主导动能的发展水平较低，耦合协调度受二者发展水平的影响较大，但随着两个子系统发展水平的不断提高后，协调度受二者耦合度的影响较大，表明我国为了实现经济高质量发展，需要两大主导动能之间协调发挥作用，但是由于我国现在面临着技术成果产品化低效率的难题，即技术创新成果可以专利化，却不能产品化，两大主导动能之间传递信息时存在一定的滞后性，且影响现阶段我国经济发展主导动能的关键因素有：专利申请授权数、R&D人员投入占比、生产性服务业占比和改进后的泰尔系数。最后为我国实现经济高质量发展提出政策建议。

Abstract:

Different dominant kinetic energies are needed in different stages of economic development.Based on the perspective of kinetic energy conversion, this paper explores the dynamic interaction mechanism between technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading which are required to achieve high-quality economic development, and uses CHD model to empirically analyze the relationship between the two dominant kinetic energy of China.This paper also uses the GRA to obtain the key factors affecting China's current dominant kinetic energy. The results show that at the initial stage of the sample, the development level of the two dominant kinetic energy is low, and the coupling coordination degree is greatly affected by the development level of the two. However, with the continuous improvement of the development level of the two subsystems, the coordination degree is affected largely by the coupling degree. Which indicates that it is needed for China to coordinate between the two leading kinetic energy in order to achieve high-quality economic development. However, the problem of low efficiency of commercialization of technological achievements is now faced by China , which means technological innovation can be patented, but it can not commercialize, there is a certain lag in the transmission of information between the two dominant kinetic energy, and the key factors affecting the leading kinetic energy of China's economic development at this stage are: patent application authorization number, R&D personnel investment ratio, production service industry ratio and Improved Tyre coefficient. Finally, it proposes policy recommendations for China to achieve high-quality economic development.