高新技术企业运行发展预警模型研究—以湛江市高新技术企业为例

Research on Early Warning Model for Operation and Development of High-tech Enterprises: A Case Study Based on Zhanjiang High-tech Enterprises

摘要:

针对高新技术企业认定后的运行发展监测盲点，分析了高新技术企业运行登记指标，利用突变级数法建立了高新技术企业运行发展预警模型。并通过预警模型，开展湛江市2015-2017年高新技术企业运行发展预警情况实证分析，并运用灰色预测模型方法对湛江市部分高新技术企业未来运行发展情况进行预测。

Abstract:

Aiming at the blind spot on operation and development monitoring for high-tech enterprises, the operation registration index of high-tech enterprises is analyzed in the paper. Besides, an early warning model on operation and development for high-tech enterprises is established through mutation series method. By early warning model, for operation and development of high-tech enterprises in Zhanjiang, this paper carries out an empirical analysis from 2015 to 2017, and forecasts future operation and development by using grey forecasting model.