产业共生是提高工业废弃物利用效率的主要方法之一。针对产业共生形成模式的选择问题，以演化博弈为主要方法构建了产业共生演化博弈模型。该模型以实现社会总经济效益最大化为目标，从治理主体和驱动模式两个角度出发，提出了产业共生形成的四种情景模式。在此基础上，通过计算得出可以实现产业共生的九个参数情形及其对应的产业共生实现概率。研究表明:第一，在给定参数的情形下，可以根据该模型进行上下游企业工业废弃物治理的形成模式选择；第二，无论治理主体是上游企业还是下游企业，政府与市场在机制选择中的替换作用并没有明确的边界；第三，当治理主体为下游企业时，仅靠市场作用很难实现上下游企业的合作。在此基础上，提出了相关政策建议，为政府和企业决策提供理论支持。

Industrial symbiosis is one of the main methods to improve the efficiency of industrial waste utilization. In order to study how to choose the formation model of industrial symbiosis, the evolutionary game method is used to construct the industrial symbiosis evolutionary game model. The model aims at maximizing the total economic benefits of the society. From the two perspectives of governance subject and driving mode, we propose four scenarios of industrial symbiosis. On this basis, the nine parameter cases that can achieve industrial symbiosis and their corresponding industrial symbiosis realization probability are obtained through calculation. The research shows that: Firstly, when given parameters, it can be selected according to the model that the formation mode of industrial waste management between upstream and downstream enterprises. Secondly, whether the governance subject is upstream enterprise or downstream enterprise, there is no clear boundary between the government and the market. Thirdly, when the governance subject is downstream enterprise, it is difficult to achieve cooperation between upstream and downstream enterprises by market alone. On this basis, relevant policy recommendations were put forward to provide theoretical support for government and corporate decision-making.

G311；F224

国家自然科学“中国油气开发中能源和水的耦合关系与协同控制研究”(71673297)；国家社会科学基金重大项目“非常规油气开发利用对国家能源安全及社会经济的影响”(13 ZD159)